Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5283f399e35ac372e1fc96498e208777308b2eee503cefffb448c26e552c9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Eternal Fire Passion, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 2,593$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 46c | 2,506$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.17 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Fire Flux Esports | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 1,381$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.15 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 1,269$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.12 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 1,031$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.34 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 1,029$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Eternal Fire Passion | 47c | 996.64$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.56 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 876.77$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.51 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Eternal Fire Passion | 74c | 838.07$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.17 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 818.28$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.36 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Eternal Fire Passion | 23c | 793.12$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 78c | 792.69$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.34 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 58c | 743.76$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.51 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 614.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.4 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Eternal Fire Passion | 72c | 587.28$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire Passion | 50c | 558.6$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.31 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Eternal Fire Passion | 27c | 555.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 46c | 535.78$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Eternal Fire Passion | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 70c | 444.67$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.27 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eternal Fire Passion | 63c | 400.83$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.43 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eternal Fire Passion | 76c | 394.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Fire Flux Esports | 71c | 383.29$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 368$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 24c | 361.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…aab7backed Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 357.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Eternal Fire Passion | 73c | 315.89$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire Passion | 40c | 277.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 267.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Eternal Fire Passion | 75c | 226.51$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Eternal Fire Passion | 37c | 192.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 71c | 192.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 189.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 174$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Eternal Fire Passion | 71c | 173.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 154.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…d74fbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 73c | 134.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked Eternal Fire Passion | 74c | 127.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Eternal Fire Passion | 74c | 122.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 37c | 120.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Eternal Fire Passion | 63c | 120.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire Passion | 44c | 119.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire Passion | 25c | 106.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fire Flux Esports | 63c | 103.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Eternal Fire Passion | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 90.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed Eternal Fire Passion | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…e36cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 76.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 53c | 73.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire Passion | 57c | 65.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Fire Flux Esports | 26c | 60.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…4ec8backed Eternal Fire Passion | 73c | 60.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 60.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 59.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Eternal Fire Passion | 38c | 57.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…2138backed Fire Flux Esports | 76c | 52.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Eternal Fire Passion | 71c | 51.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…14eabacked Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 49.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eternal Fire Passion | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Eternal Fire Passion | 52c | 42.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Eternal Fire Passion | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 74c | 37.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…f707backed Eternal Fire Passion | 32c | 37.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 36.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…2e8ebacked Eternal Fire Passion | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 32.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Eternal Fire Passion | 64c | 27.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Fire Flux Esports | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…60cabacked Eternal Fire Passion | 67c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Eternal Fire Passion | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Eternal Fire Passion (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)Fire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire Passion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.