Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3875b5e5b79f8f26f5aa59770fd222173faf9b8cf5c4f3bca72a191b89978d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fire Passionof Eternal Fire Passion, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 75c | 2,641$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.61 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 801.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 756.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 70c | 547.8$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 520.79$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 77c | 427.02$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire Passion | 77c | 301.68$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 216.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 190.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Eternal Fire Passion | 68c | 112.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 98.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 86.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire Passion | 74c | 44.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 44.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 75c | 28.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Eternal Fire Passion (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)Fire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik PlayoffsFire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.