Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8fcfba8c952aea22cfd581662b400e1af7aae7d55707460efad2443cba1e66d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Virtus Bologna, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd87f…ba30backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 4,853$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 47c | 3,022$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.95 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 54c | 1,993$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.34 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virtus Bologna | 56c | 1,720$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.63 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Virtus Bologna | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Saski Baskonia | 43c | 1,159$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.61 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Saski Baskonia | 44c | 874.83$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.56 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Saski Baskonia | 69c | 712.86$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia | 56c | 686.8$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.07 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus Bologna | 33c | 620.23$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Saski Baskonia | 45c | 537.46$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.71 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 322.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Virtus Bologna | 37c | 306$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus Bologna | 36c | 290.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Virtus Bologna | 55c | 267$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Virtus Bologna | 55c | 258.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 242.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Saski Baskonia | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Saski Baskonia | 47c | 206.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Virtus Bologna | 25c | 187.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Saski Baskonia | 54c | 171.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtus Bologna | 53c | 169.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Saski Baskonia | 53c | 148.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus Bologna | 18c | 146.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Saski Baskonia | 42c | 144.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Virtus Bologna | 22c | 132.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Saski Baskonia | 45c | 108.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Saski Baskonia | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Virtus Bologna | 45c | 105.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Virtus Bologna | 59c | 103.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Virtus Bologna | 59c | 103.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Virtus Bologna | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Saski Baskonia | 64c | 98.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed Virtus Bologna | 48c | 95.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…430dbacked Virtus Bologna | 41c | 90.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Saski Baskonia | 61c | 90.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Virtus Bologna | 42c | 88.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 88.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 88.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 88.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Saski Baskonia | 44c | 88.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 88.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 73.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Saski Baskonia | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Virtus Bologna | 49c | 64.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus Bologna | 47c | 57.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Virtus Bologna | 57c | 56.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…e58fbacked Virtus Bologna | 30c | 52.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Virtus Bologna | 23c | 50.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Saski Baskonia | 60c | 50.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Virtus Bologna | 57c | 49.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Virtus Bologna | 55c | 48.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea67…5839backed Virtus Bologna | 66c | 47.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Saski Baskonia | 45c | 45.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus Bologna | 55c | 44.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Virtus Bologna | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Virtus Bologna | 46c | 37.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Virtus Bologna | 58c | 30.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Saski Baskonia | 47c | 30.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Saski Baskonia | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Virtus Bologna | 57c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus Bologna | 47c | 24.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Virtus Bologna | 58c | 19.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Virtus Bologna | 58c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…60cabacked Saski Baskonia | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…b995backed Saski Baskonia | 79c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.