La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f640a454861b97bb6727903d96eee4221f154c3af7be4001376f0b24024bf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x493c…a6eebacked Yes | 0c | 71,420$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 0c | 16,739$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 40c | 3,521$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.46 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 71c | 2,797$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.29 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,309$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,305$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 15c | 900.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 881.96$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 29c | 613.54$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 33c | 587.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 545.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.58 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 428.61$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 407.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 23c | 383.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 340.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 22c | 256.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…8d7cbacked Yes | 14c | 248.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 16c | 183.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 177$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 149.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 33c | 144.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 143$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 28c | 142.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 36c | 132.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 23c | 131.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 130.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…ae53backed Yes | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 14c | 118.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Yes | 26c | 117.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 76c | 110.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 105.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 31c | 104.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 22c | 98.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 68.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 22c | 67.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Yes | 29c | 55.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 43c | 47.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 43.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 69c | 37.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 72c | 33.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…e43cbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…d9cbbacked No | 71c | 23.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 19.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.