CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x852eccac5caadae70c7583e9d18c3b00893cba74698377e9c13a965c11b31051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof G2, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed G2 | 25c | 13,312$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.08 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 | 9c | 7,156$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.57 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 | 14c | 6,473$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.54 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 | 8c | 3,937$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.14 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 64c | 3,650$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.95 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed G2 | 10c | 3,567$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.06 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed G2 | 28c | 3,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 73c | 2,805$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.22 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed G2 | 25c | 2,300$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.94 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked G2 | 39c | 2,124$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.44 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Spirit | 63c | 1,342$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.59 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked G2 | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed G2 | 13c | 1,196$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Spirit | 73c | 929.67$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed G2 | 40c | 784.45$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.78 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed G2 | 23c | 732.48$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed G2 | 1c | 714.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…913ebacked Spirit | 76c | 627.8$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…f102backed G2 | 7c | 616.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 61c | 552.33$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…ef47backed Spirit | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked G2 | 3c | 440.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed G2 | 41c | 349.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked G2 | 3c | 331.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 | 4c | 316.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed G2 | 6c | 313.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Spirit | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed G2 | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Spirit | 80c | 206.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed Spirit | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed Spirit | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Spirit | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed G2 | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed G2 | 41c | 194.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 | 15c | 182.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed G2 | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed G2 | 37c | 160.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Spirit | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed G2 | 39c | 154.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed G2 | 17c | 151.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Spirit | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Spirit | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed G2 | 39c | 128.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed G2 | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed G2 | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit | 75c | 109$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…5cb9backed G2 | 32c | 108.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed G2 | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…4d4dbacked G2 | 28c | 100.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Spirit | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…dfe9backed G2 | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Spirit | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Spirit | 63c | 79.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked G2 | 14c | 77.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Spirit | 60c | 66.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed G2 | 45c | 64.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked G2 | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…6632backed Spirit | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed G2 | 27c | 39.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Spirit | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Spirit | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…a8efbacked Spirit | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed G2 | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Spirit | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed G2 | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Spirit | 63c | 26.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed G2 | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Spirit | 79c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Spirit | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed Spirit | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…05f2backed Spirit | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…2ea8backed Spirit | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.