CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a0e2415752f4336f3923ea335ac7e7158bcb3354c5339291367077d6c1e8b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 52c | 2,415$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.97 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 621.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.51 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 47c | 493.62$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.62 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…856cbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 52c | 283.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 47c | 173.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 67c | 137$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…e262backed Over | 47c | 110.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 40c | 109.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…9996backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 55c | 88.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 69c | 88.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Under | 54c | 42.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Over | 47c | 31.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Under | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 54c | 20.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 59cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…57b8backed Over | 66c | 16.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.