CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5440857650eaf790ae0c5fce408362cca7efa6742217be0511508ebef9e02dd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Spirit, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed G2 | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.97 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked G2 | 57c | 2,098$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.65 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Spirit | 44c | 1,982$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.9 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Spirit | 45c | 1,245$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.09 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Spirit | 45c | 1,099$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.01 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed G2 | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 54c | 599.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed G2 | 54c | 546.66$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Spirit | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Spirit | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 44c | 428.61$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…8df5backed G2 | 60c | 347.6$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…8d7dbacked G2 | 60c | 347.34$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…d638backed G2 | 60c | 342.8$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e6…4c77backed Spirit | 41c | 342.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…ffd4backed Spirit | 41c | 338.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…69d7backed Spirit | 41c | 338.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed G2 | 58c | 262.56$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed G2 | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed G2 | 62c | 162.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 38c | 152$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Spirit | 46c | 118.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Spirit | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Spirit | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed G2 | 60c | 82.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Spirit | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Spirit | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Spirit | 44c | 51.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Spirit | 44c | 49.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Spirit | 44c | 49.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Spirit | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Spirit | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked Spirit | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c5abacked Spirit | 62c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed G2 | 56c | 31.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b8…7895backed G2 | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…00a4backed Spirit | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Spirit | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.