Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c81b459de04ae958b5dce5442163f597e30425d02ec17fc3be07657efe39df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rex Regum Qeonof Nongshim RedForce, Rex Regum Qeon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Rex Regum Qeon | 45c | 1,369$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.6 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 660$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 616.94$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.13 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 35c | 594.43$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 476.49$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Rex Regum Qeon | 48c | 209.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 199.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 20c | 199.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Rex Regum Qeon | 23c | 168.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Rex Regum Qeon | 33c | 152.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 140$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Rex Regum Qeon | 44c | 136.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 119.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Rex Regum Qeon | 17c | 110.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…3538backed Rex Regum Qeon | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed Rex Regum Qeon | 37c | 51.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…7513backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 43c | 46.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 46.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 45.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Rex Regum Qeon | 47c | 44.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd6…f3b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Rex Regum Qeon | 52c | 38.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…9782backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 28.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map Handicap: RRQ (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 WinnerRex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 3 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.