Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3891e6e6e71e49f95e1c15e7ceeb78e4c75cd080bb0e656548a573de8315ec1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rex Regum Qeonof Nongshim RedForce, Rex Regum Qeon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed Rex Regum Qeon | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nongshim RedForce | 1c | 899$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 880.69$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.06 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce | 29c | 646.78$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Rex Regum Qeon | 68c | 628.42$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Rex Regum Qeon | 75c | 479.21$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Rex Regum Qeon | 70c | 420$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 419$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Rex Regum Qeon | 34c | 382.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 208.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 52c | 167$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Rex Regum Qeon | 54c | 166.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 160.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 144.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 142.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 116.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Nongshim RedForce | 34c | 108.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +90%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Rex Regum Qeon | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Rex Regum Qeon | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nongshim RedForce | 16c | 84.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rex Regum Qeon | 54c | 84.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 81.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Rex Regum Qeon | 55c | 78.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Nongshim RedForce | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Rex Regum Qeon | 57c | 52.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nongshim RedForce | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebd6…f3b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 31.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Nongshim RedForce | 43c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Rex Regum Qeon | 58c | 21.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map Handicap: RRQ (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 3 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 4 WinnerRex Regum Qeon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.