TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Rex Regum Qeon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Nongshim RedForce61c7,184$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.776365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Rex Regum Qeon43c6,110$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.4593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Rex Regum Qeon47c2,546$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.8334356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce61c1,700$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.4762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Nongshim RedForce79c989.73$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.246672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Nongshim RedForce65c494.63$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6624732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Rex Regum Qeon17c472.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.633545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rex Regum Qeon30c366$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0328541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rex Regum Qeon48c249.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rex Regum Qeon48c245.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9270251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Rex Regum Qeon41c237.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nongshim RedForce46c234.22$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4819248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed Rex Regum Qeon43c231.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7922047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed Rex Regum Qeon54c226.81$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.483834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed Nongshim RedForce53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Rex Regum Qeon50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Nongshim RedForce50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Rex Regum Qeon26c39.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+90%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed Nongshim RedForce62c16.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.