Golf · resolved market
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec91ec3e6f5306fa05ba0b06471677be14218943277758e7380b6c80ace2af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 56c | 3,150$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.8 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,577$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 17c | 730.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 53c | 650$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.9 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 50c | 315.62$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…8fb6backed Yes | 6c | 236.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 52c | 159.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…9d95backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…17b2backed Yes | 28c | 87.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 28c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f1c9backed Yes | 33c | 48.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 66c | 46.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…aa6abacked Yes | 25c | 42.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 56c | 26.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…7754backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?this page
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Chris Kirk win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?Yes won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Kevin Roy win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.