World Politics · resolved market
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdc4b2965ece5e6f7842bd509f077b6647388fae7f909aabc086ed86d7b48b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b3…25babacked Yes | 3c | 9,685$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,516$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…a9debacked Yes | 4c | 2,414$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,729$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…4f15backed Yes | 3c | 1,545$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…2899backed Yes | 2c | 985.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed Yes | 2c | 949.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 540.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 3c | 519.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 2c | 497.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…fa75backed Yes | 2c | 480.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…7a2bbacked Yes | 3c | 452.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…f9efbacked Yes | 2c | 447.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 5c | 413.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 395.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dab…424fbacked Yes | 5c | 301.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 4c | 300.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…f0f3backed Yes | 3c | 299.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…e02bbacked Yes | 3c | 297.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…ac95backed Yes | 5c | 280.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…c47dbacked Yes | 4c | 251.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a7…7aa1backed Yes | 13c | 212.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 14c | 158.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 73c | 32.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 76c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?Yes won
- Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.