World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62ca524b5369fa76236476f0a99ad67d555d08290388034a98e2af004a00733d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked No | 12c | 4,575$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,192$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 1,542$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 1c | 1,372$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,247$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 806.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…fdb2backed No | 6c | 721.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 6c | 641.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 75c | 592.09$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 11c | 583.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 2c | 546.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 487.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…81e4backed No | 3c | 346.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed No | 5c | 332.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +461.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked No | 8c | 269.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…ac95backed No | 6c | 205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…3eeebacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…54a2backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 190.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 77c | 130.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…6e5ebacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 23c | 50.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.