TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Illinois win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c58…6d8abacked Yes33c627$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…f1fdbacked Yes32c458$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0216…e69fbacked Yes33c368$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ca…ffaebacked Yes32c355$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2039…943dbacked Yes33c337$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1395…634abacked Yes32c328$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7263…db3dbacked Yes33c317$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce30…df76backed Yes32c316$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f84…650fbacked Yes32c300$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef8…89b4backed Yes32c286$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea24…6f90backed Yes33c283$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes29c273.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9318147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b8e…a2febacked Yes33c273$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b35…e00fbacked Yes32c261$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…9c6ebacked Yes32c241$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x535d…0a3dbacked Yes33c238$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b9…9f7bbacked Yes32c229$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…3b0abacked No67c225$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…5009backed No67c225$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58fa…9570backed Yes32c218$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524f…4a96backed No68c214$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa814…49c4backed No68c214$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b0…2e8ebacked Yes33c209$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b51…a4bdbacked Yes32c207$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3e…795fbacked Yes33c203$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc28a…7d87backed Yes33c202$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd831…c949backed Yes32c201$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f7…5b67backed Yes32c199.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7721…4676backed Yes32c198$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf9…3157backed Yes32c197$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd87a…0eafbacked Yes32c188$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d55…c82ebacked Yes33c185$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0609…83babacked Yes31c185$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d72…ca58backed Yes33c178$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0032…4515backed No67c177$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb47…b480backed Yes31c174$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e4…e711backed Yes33c172$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x113e…b89fbacked Yes31c171$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…a6b7backed Yes31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0446…45d7backed Yes40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0103…e972backed Yes32c158$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d8…38ffbacked Yes40c156$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36a…9c0ebacked Yes40c153$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…fc3ebacked Yes40c151$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc9…76e4backed Yes40c151$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9221…b087backed No69c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ea…bb18backed Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc0…dba2backed Yes37c149$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2058…553ebacked Yes40c149$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10b…6371backed Yes40c149$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b7…cd68backed Yes32c148$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3476…35d7backed Yes40c148$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ba…055bbacked Yes40c148$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7dc…bbe8backed Yes32c147$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…906abacked Yes32c147$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6c…641cbacked Yes31c147$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d2…b6d5backed Yes40c146$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3858…9993backed Yes40c143$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3429…f299backed Yes40c143$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x083f…2e16backed Yes32c142$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3442…6ceebacked Yes40c142$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b33…1969backed No67c142$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafc…4c8cbacked Yes32c141$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6788…cba7backed No60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c14…6292backed Yes40c139$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…f3c4backed No60c139$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…9be6backed No60c138$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x632d…e272backed Yes40c138$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ca…128fbacked No60c137$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…0283backed No67c136$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa68e…103abacked Yes37c134$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8423…96ebbacked No60c134$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf475…a3bbbacked Yes33c134$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c2…3074backed Yes31c134$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f9…c658backed Yes32c132$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7f…9791backed No67c131$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc78…213bbacked No60c131$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…5e9abacked No60c131$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…1ad8backed No68c131$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb4…06fdbacked No60c131$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…638cbacked No60c131$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5461…3a47backed Yes32c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8c…efd7backed No60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6dd…ff61backed Yes32c128$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb89…fcdebacked Yes32c127$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eec…0aa0backed Yes32c127$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b27…790ebacked No68c127$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd559…7771backed Yes31c127$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…dd4cbacked No60c127$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7efe…25debacked No60c126$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796a…a22bbacked No68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68b…1f78backed No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaae…f8bbbacked No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb983…b184backed No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062f…7334backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e4…f5efbacked Yes32c124$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c7…2761backed Yes32c123$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd8…271cbacked Yes33c123$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bee…8d46backed Yes32c120$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb4…1fb8backed No67c119$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.