TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Michigan win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5e4…b1c2backed Yes47c488$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x095f…e744backed Yes46c411$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1011…53a8backed Yes46c387$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…00fcbacked Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0784…1430backed Yes47c288$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0f…5b81backed Yes46c267$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x845f…a6a5backed Yes49c252$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No60c233$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes61c231.11$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3818147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa421…97d3backed Yes49c230$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd0…313dbacked Yes46c225$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb938…3287backed Yes46c209$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7aa…814cbacked No54c204$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59c6…d5ddbacked Yes30c200.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf27f…57dfbacked Yes49c193$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b0…113abacked Yes46c186$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…4293backed No46c182$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2848…b28dbacked Yes49c181$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2790…711cbacked No46c181$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa694…1296backed No46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…f836backed No46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a11…4831backed Yes46c179$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…a128backed No46c177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a29…0041backed Yes46c177$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffe…4fd2backed No46c177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4b…e36fbacked No53c177$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…23abbacked No46c176$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5612…629fbacked No46c174$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc78…8d04backed No46c173$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…2794backed No46c171$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b70…07aebacked Yes49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf081…3d78backed Yes54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa01b…fd77backed No46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9290…bcfabacked No46c169$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb385…b8b9backed Yes44c169$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…6242backed Yes46c168$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cf…a6cfbacked No53c168$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbd…3dd5backed Yes49c167$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2322…92e8backed No46c166$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb802…e304backed Yes46c165$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a1…895ebacked No54c164$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c7f…69c1backed No54c163$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27de…633ebacked Yes49c161$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdb…776dbacked Yes46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1558…5f5dbacked Yes47c158$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed No50c157.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb665…ce70backed Yes49c157$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…37c2backed Yes54c155$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0b…96a5backed Yes54c155$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b81…c8e0backed Yes54c153$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8e…57dabacked Yes54c153$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe14…23b8backed Yes54c153$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x107b…da56backed Yes51c152$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0d…5d0bbacked Yes46c152$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd196…5c5fbacked Yes54c151$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ea…5cb1backed Yes54c151$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bad…b5febacked Yes51c149$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e2…03e2backed Yes54c149$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee2…9085backed Yes54c148$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45cd…306dbacked Yes47c147$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1751…a451backed Yes54c147$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No13c146.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43a…2016backed Yes54c146$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6833…f53dbacked Yes54c145$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50be…4cf0backed Yes54c144$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x897a…ebfdbacked Yes46c143$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x749e…181fbacked No53c143$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea1…ee30backed Yes54c143$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x293c…962abacked Yes47c139$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf8…d98ebacked Yes54c139$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8e…4776backed Yes54c139$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1d…903fbacked Yes46c135$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa114…9478backed No54c135$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9e…aabdbacked No46c133$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf099…072bbacked Yes47c132$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac2…004dbacked Yes51c132$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a20…73d4backed No46c132$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc07…2ad7backed Yes47c131$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…1768backed Yes46c126$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No23c125.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.332544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c90…b41dbacked Yes51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf361…af0abacked Yes51c124$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec2…5970backed Yes49c122$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x695b…68febacked Yes51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c2…0597backed Yes46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8417…ec97backed Yes44c118$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…cac8backed No51c114$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b3e…45a2backed Yes49c114$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…2cafbacked No54c113$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d43…fabbbacked Yes51c108$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66b…013dbacked Yes46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc12…6f36backed Yes46c107$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762f…087dbacked Yes47c107$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f0…1522backed No53c105$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…9d6bbacked No53c103$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc77…dd37backed Yes47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b1…5e02backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb5…0538backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…031fbacked Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2c…b32bbacked No51c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.