Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $120 December 15-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0485b561aae2dfcc3e871c0fdb2aab49f16f984795b78458cfbf230f04f341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 36c | 6,233$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.76 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…766dbacked Yes | 63c | 4,834$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.69 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 76c | 3,707$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.19 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 51c | 2,141$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.93 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 29c | 1,112$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 72c | 814.54$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.23 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 52c | 242.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 42c | 169.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…bf67backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…9688backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…f9dfbacked No | 38c | 109.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf4…cc11backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc606…bb89backed No | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…0592backed No | 36c | 84.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 25c | 77.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…7054backed No | 34c | 61.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked No | 39c | 55.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…167dbacked No | 55c | 52.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…82c2backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed No | 38c | 36.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…1332backed Yes | 56c | 33.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Yes | 68c | 28.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked Yes | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $120 December 15-21?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 December 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 December 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 December 15-21?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 December 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 December 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 December 15-21?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 December 15-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.