Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x425199816cc66b82f5810e568b04f4ba0cf3906431021a617ee5dc1242938a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 368 | 42.9%158 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 52c | 18,894$9,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,825.05 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 57c | 5,630$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.37 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 2,683$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.5 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 58c | 1,371$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 958.49$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.85 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 53c | 684.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.35 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 63c | 310.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 1,157 | 53.1%614 W · 543 L | +43.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 76c | 291.54$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 46c | 291.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…254ebacked Yes | 49c | 273.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…7db9backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 43c | 239.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…8663backed Yes | 48c | 239.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…76dfbacked Yes | 49c | 225.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…a7d1backed Yes | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…f195backed Yes | 49c | 205.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 155.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 47c | 148.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…7703backed Yes | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 52c | 135$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 53c | 123.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 109.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 71.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 53c | 69.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 20c | 67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 58c | 63.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 330 | 35.2%116 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 52c | 56.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 32c | 34.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b1d5backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 907 | 57.9%525 W · 382 L | +55.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…759abacked Yes | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.