Fifa International · resolved market
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b29be330a57fb2346095a0fdd9bb85c24f5fc55950575a8dfbac2d74881f059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 54c | 1,896$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 75c | 1,019$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.37 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 20c | 536.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.44 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 79c | 532.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.31 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 4c | 284$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 21c | 256.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 77c | 217.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 79c | 134.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 56c | 113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed Yes | 21c | 93.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9e37backed Yes | 21c | 71.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed No | 77c | 65.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…e08abacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 19c | 54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 23c | 43.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Yes | 44c | 34.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 33.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoube Amaimouni: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayyoub Bouaddi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 5+ shotsNo won
- Don Deedson Louicius: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Frantzdy Pierrot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gessime Yassine: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Neil El Aynaoui: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neil El Aynaoui: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Wilson Isidor: 1+ goalsYes won
- Wilson Isidor: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Zakaria El Ouahdi: 3+ shots on targetNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.