Fifa International · resolved market
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7556f63ef586039de04a2e5945890a59f971dfd3231789a2e43a2099f708271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb014…a357backed Yes | 45c | 6,244$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.44 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 55c | 6,234$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.96 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 2,315$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.15 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 55c | 2,065$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.91 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 54c | 1,276$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.84 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 47c | 851.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.17 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 66c | 671.66$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.54 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 44c | 668.26$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.16 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 53c | 599.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 56c | 557.8$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.37 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 544.12$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.97 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 53c | 462.14$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…5c77backed Yes | 46c | 432.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.98 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 56c | 410.34$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.89 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…98bebacked Yes | 46c | 399.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 333.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Yes | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…b993backed Yes | 45c | 216.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…8cf5backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…b4edbacked Yes | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 163$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 64c | 156.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked No | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…36f6backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 55c | 114.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…389fbacked Yes | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 55c | 111.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…c4fcbacked Yes | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…2b0fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 49c | 102.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Yes | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…7bf0backed Yes | 45c | 79.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 53c | 74.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 52c | 71.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…b568backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…cd38backed Yes | 48c | 61.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21f…8570backed Yes | 45c | 61.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…0c47backed No | 58c | 51.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1458…1dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…4c3cbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…4bdcbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…9dddbacked Yes | 44c | 39.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…c9ecbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…07f8backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…a673backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked No | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772a…9b0bbacked No | 34c | 29.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…be62backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…9ababacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 22.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…e90cbacked Yes | 48c | 21.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsthis page
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoube Amaimouni: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayyoub Bouaddi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 5+ shotsNo won
- Don Deedson Louicius: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Frantzdy Pierrot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gessime Yassine: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Neil El Aynaoui: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neil El Aynaoui: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Wilson Isidor: 1+ goalsYes won
- Wilson Isidor: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Zakaria El Ouahdi: 3+ shots on targetNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.