Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e458d51730c9345fba1e3f0336d1ff79753f3f9e30a9af54e23912b68814e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 8,829$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 7c | 1,853$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…1e5abacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 8c | 1,205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,189$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…dd2bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…3122backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 37.3%62 W · 104 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 572.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 7c | 486.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 8c | 380$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…cafbbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…e8b2backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 7c | 280.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…e08abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc703…4361backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…5941backed Yes | 8c | 240.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 240 | 43.3%104 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa1…9915backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 181.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…0b9ebacked Yes | 8c | 162.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…5215backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…37e6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…cf5fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e48…e8e6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0da…9b36backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e947backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…c253backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 South Africa?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?Yes won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 3 South Africa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.