Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1ff5059384c841bafe15e3bb68036ccfbc63e0afe992617dd8efe1bf2845eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 20,026$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 19,981$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,707$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 5c | 2,840$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,579$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…aaffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…5aa4backed Yes | 5c | 1,094$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc08a…92a4backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813d…0378backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 5c | 580$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 5c | 410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…823dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes | 5c | 391$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…f9f5backed Yes | 8c | 379.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 6c | 358.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 5c | 308.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 5c | 303.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 5c | 296$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…8de4backed Yes | 5c | 294$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 4c | 280$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…256ebacked Yes | 5c | 233.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…a226backed Yes | 5c | 214.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 5c | 203.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 203.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…909ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e705backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…c253backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd201…005fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…e8b2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03f…768bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?Yes won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 3 South Africa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.