Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a86bc92d89acf329e8167b3347630ee006f67bb7b99e3f7a818770aee02b5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 10c | 24,518$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.6 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 8,457$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 9c | 7,242$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.41 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,703$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.27 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…fdbebacked Yes | 10c | 1,823$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 7c | 1,535$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 2c | 1,316$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…0c40backed Yes | 10c | 1,145$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 11c | 961$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 915.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 9c | 790.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…9b84backed Yes | 8c | 696$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 152 | 35.5%54 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 617.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 9c | 588$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…6522backed Yes | 36c | 574.09$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 10c | 447.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 9c | 295.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…0cf0backed Yes | 7c | 269.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +9.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 9c | 254$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…2140backed Yes | 12c | 221$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…5de2backed Yes | 9c | 218.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 10c | 196$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 9c | 193.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…8b43backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Yes | 23c | 175.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 10c | 171.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…9233backed Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 9c | 119$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 142 | 23.9%34 W · 108 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5b97backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…3034backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?Yes won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 3 South Africa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.