Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2a45fc0442c36e76036b772a5b8ed56ae7dfd08871d2a007ec42098484808f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 9c | 6,278$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.04 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 3,856$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 2,444$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 1,469$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 10c | 1,254$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Yes | 10c | 957.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f4d0backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 9c | 377.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…3595backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 294$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Yes | 9c | 271.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 11c | 186$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1a…d177backed Yes | 9c | 161.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7697…812bbacked Yes | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…c435backed Yes | 9c | 158.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45d6backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Yes | 9c | 122.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…8489backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 South Africa?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?Yes won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 3 South Africa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.