TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,858 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under36c42,616$15,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,294.579649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over64c9,756$6,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,242.3725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over64c8,104$5,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,186.5612451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over64c5,158$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.088845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c3,733$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.23,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over64c3,500$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2405054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over62c2,656$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.7597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6005251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over63c1,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.941450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Under39c1,145$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Under38c840.58$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.192857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over63c599.97$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.986155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over64c597.66$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.59151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over64c450$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2884656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over34c366.63$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.953641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under79c281$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9646156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under75c265.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.393966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over63c261.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over36c212.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over21c199.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.53321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under50c199.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.48887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+65.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c193$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.731,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over64c180$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.224351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over42c175.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.981,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9619657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over61c140.24$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.144459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under35c129.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under37c125$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over64c115$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.65651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over64c113.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.344955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6413557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over64c95.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.12965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over64c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.65556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over64c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.65154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under38c78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.367951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over64c73.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1710648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over42c71.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.46256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over64c46.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over64c44.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.337150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c43.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over66c43.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.556555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Over35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under37c39.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.191353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over62c39.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4912849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b3…52debacked Under62c39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa830…df99backed Under39c38.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under38c38.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.938251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over64c34.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.345850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over41c33.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.594168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over64c30.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.812458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over64c28.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.341540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over62c28.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.438652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over64c26.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.165653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under79c25.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.330957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Over63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.46per pick59cpaid-79.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over64c22.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4513950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over60c22.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.284271.4%30 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1a3f…5778backed Over62c20.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa32f…bf61backed Over62c19.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc1…ed92backed Over62c17.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under77c14.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.381266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.