Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6d4e166a2dbdfcf5acf67e6a9830627f93aacc1f7f98c0cdc0f02c53ead3b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,389 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1776…e557backed MOUZ | 67c | 16,891$11,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed GamerLegion | 42c | 15,563$6,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,613.27 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed GamerLegion | 40c | 6,497$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.37 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,367$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.04 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,760$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.52 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 59c | 2,089$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.48 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,762$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.39 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed GamerLegion | 39c | 1,496$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.37 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,483$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,293$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked GamerLegion | 62c | 1,266$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.61 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,125$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.69 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 48c | 1,086$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 36c | 1,000$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.56 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 67c | 989.16$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 958.68$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed GamerLegion | 47c | 925.17$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.79 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 63c | 892.85$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.64 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 55c | 887.57$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.85 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed MOUZ | 35c | 834.69$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 804.77$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed GamerLegion | 58c | 799.99$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 64c | 794.02$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.02 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 51c | 734.93$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked GamerLegion | 55c | 696.07$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.08 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed GamerLegion | 41c | 575.66$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.52 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 75c | 570.99$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed GamerLegion | 79c | 550$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.4 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed GamerLegion | 5c | 549.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed GamerLegion | 75c | 540.43$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed GamerLegion | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked GamerLegion | 22c | 523.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked GamerLegion | 27c | 500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked GamerLegion | 26c | 497.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 62c | 487.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 56c | 480.52$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 50c | 475.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked GamerLegion | 41c | 466$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed MOUZ | 59c | 466$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 34c | 404.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.81 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed GamerLegion | 69c | 400$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.69 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed GamerLegion | 25c | 383.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ | 78c | 347.04$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed GamerLegion | 32c | 337.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked GamerLegion | 36c | 325.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 63c | 319.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed GamerLegion | 24c | 313.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked GamerLegion | 77c | 307.32$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.64 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed MOUZ | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 34c | 299.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed GamerLegion | 42c | 274.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed GamerLegion | 76c | 259.84$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion | 37c | 235.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked MOUZ | 25c | 227.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed MOUZ | 62c | 186.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed GamerLegion | 77c | 177.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed GamerLegion | 31c | 172$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed GamerLegion | 32c | 170.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…08a4backed GamerLegion | 42c | 166.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed GamerLegion | 67c | 166.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed MOUZ | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed GamerLegion | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 59c | 148.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed GamerLegion | 26c | 146.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…94f7backed GamerLegion | 78c | 145.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…82b4backed GamerLegion | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed GamerLegion | 77c | 130.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked MOUZ | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed GamerLegion | 65c | 119.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed GamerLegion | 62c | 118.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed MOUZ | 61c | 110.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked GamerLegion | 58c | 109.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed GamerLegion | 75c | 105.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed GamerLegion | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed GamerLegion | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed GamerLegion | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…022fbacked MOUZ | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked GamerLegion | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed GamerLegion | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed GamerLegion | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked GamerLegion | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 43c | 95.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed GamerLegion | 40c | 88.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed GamerLegion | 30c | 87.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 86.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed MOUZ | 61c | 83.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed GamerLegion | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked MOUZ | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group AMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.