Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a9fd80838062439535fd98956288530c27d6d2fd9488211980f0c0a473a2f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,904 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GamerLegion | 23c | 1,477$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked GamerLegion | 34c | 1,258$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.27 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion | 5c | 1,070$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed MOUZ | 61c | 728.85$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 20c | 621.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed GamerLegion | 39c | 595$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…74c4backed GamerLegion | 37c | 569.71$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed MOUZ | 68c | 513.59$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed GamerLegion | 14c | 474.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 15c | 433.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed MOUZ | 70c | 424$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed MOUZ | 70c | 405.34$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked MOUZ | 68c | 371.3$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked MOUZ | 68c | 333.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 80c | 310.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed GamerLegion | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed GamerLegion | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…746ebacked GamerLegion | 10c | 291.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 270.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed GamerLegion | 39c | 258.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed MOUZ | 59c | 243.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion | 38c | 227.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked GamerLegion | 30c | 213.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked MOUZ | 61c | 203.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf242…9e61backed GamerLegion | 13c | 201.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed MOUZ | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed GamerLegion | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed GamerLegion | 42c | 186.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed MOUZ | 71c | 167.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 63c | 157.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 141.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 72c | 129.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed MOUZ | 58c | 125.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed MOUZ | 56c | 120.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 20c | 115.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion | 20c | 114$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…8297backed MOUZ | 80c | 108.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 100.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed GamerLegion | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed GamerLegion | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed GamerLegion | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…273bbacked GamerLegion | 41c | 96.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed GamerLegion | 42c | 90.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked GamerLegion | 41c | 84.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed MOUZ | 79c | 76.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 71.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed MOUZ | 56c | 70.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed GamerLegion | 41c | 63.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 60.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed MOUZ | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked GamerLegion | 36c | 47.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed GamerLegion | 33c | 45.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ | 59c | 43.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed GamerLegion | 42c | 43.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked MOUZ | 59c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed MOUZ | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…59a9backed MOUZ | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MOUZ | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…e24cbacked MOUZ | 62c | 26.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed MOUZ | 62c | 26.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed MOUZ | 62c | 26.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed MOUZ | 62c | 26.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked MOUZ | 62c | 26.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…a5aabacked MOUZ | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…d889backed MOUZ | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…f98abacked MOUZ | 66c | 20.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed MOUZ | 61c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…754fbacked MOUZ | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed MOUZ | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked MOUZ | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…b6c5backed MOUZ | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.