Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1be22bd9d4168fdf3a80d604fe0b34ed7598bc3a415587b85d094be2e0c3bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,226 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed GamerLegion | 42c | 39,741$16,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,814.75 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 65c | 19,326$12,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 52c | 16,083$8,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,743.36 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 53c | 4,577$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.33 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 80c | 2,852$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.1 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed GamerLegion | 14c | 2,600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed MOUZ | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed GamerLegion | 17c | 2,477$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.65 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed GamerLegion | 48c | 2,094$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 76c | 1,973$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.12 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed GamerLegion | 20c | 1,505$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 46c | 1,406$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,337$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 1,284$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.42 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed GamerLegion | 31c | 1,277$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 70c | 1,212$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.37 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed GamerLegion | 26c | 1,177$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.93 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed GamerLegion | 2c | 1,074$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 1,047$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,008$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 61c | 973.14$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.68 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ | 78c | 884.2$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed GamerLegion | 39c | 820.95$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.54 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed GamerLegion | 33c | 731.04$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked MOUZ | 63c | 585$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 72c | 574.28$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion | 5c | 492$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 65c | 424.52$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed GamerLegion | 22c | 405.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 363.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 35c | 361.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed GamerLegion | 20c | 360.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed GamerLegion | 23c | 324.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed GamerLegion | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed GamerLegion | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked GamerLegion | 45c | 294.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MOUZ | 59c | 275.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked GamerLegion | 17c | 268.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion | 47c | 266.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked MOUZ | 78c | 263.09$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed MOUZ | 53c | 242.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 54c | 223.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed GamerLegion | 35c | 214.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 54c | 211.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked MOUZ | 54c | 210.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion | 37c | 207.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 204.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked GamerLegion | 12c | 199.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed GamerLegion | 45c | 199.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 80c | 196$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked MOUZ | 56c | 194.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked GamerLegion | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed MOUZ | 54c | 186.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 56c | 171.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed GamerLegion | 31c | 170$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed MOUZ | 53c | 165.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ | 54c | 139.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed GamerLegion | 18c | 135.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked GamerLegion | 41c | 126.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed GamerLegion | 29c | 121.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed MOUZ | 54c | 111.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed GamerLegion | 20c | 102.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked MOUZ | 69c | 101.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked GamerLegion | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked GamerLegion | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked MOUZ | 53c | 99.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed MOUZ | 57c | 97.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 72c | 92.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked MOUZ | 54c | 88.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…d5c4backed GamerLegion | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 27c | 75.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 69.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed MOUZ | 80c | 69.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed GamerLegion | 39c | 59.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ | 69c | 59.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed MOUZ | 53c | 58.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MOUZ | 61c | 58.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…caf5backed MOUZ | 80c | 57.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…2d03backed MOUZ | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59d…64adbacked MOUZ | 54c | 55.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed MOUZ | 54c | 51.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 51.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed MOUZ | 54c | 51.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed GamerLegion | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed MOUZ | 54c | 49.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed MOUZ | 53c | 49.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 46.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 58c | 43.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked MOUZ | 54c | 42.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed MOUZ | 54c | 42.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 42.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked GamerLegion | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed GamerLegion | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group AMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.