Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1a7858c199edaa08c94bd9c8bb15d55675d6d506d96690ef8bc44efdcf7deb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,889 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NAVI Junior | 0c | 3,422$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…3c73backed NAVI Junior | 8c | 2,454$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked NAVI Junior | 12c | 818.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…7721backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed NAVI Junior | 9c | 562.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…c62fbacked NAVI Junior | 10c | 556$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f403backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 514$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…0f4fbacked NAVI Junior | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…1941backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 470$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed NAVI Junior | 11c | 464.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed NAVI Junior | 4c | 429.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…b447backed NAVI Junior | 11c | 274.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked NAVI Junior | 6c | 249.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NAVI Junior | 9c | 225.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 200.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 199.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed NAVI Junior | 17c | 188.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NAVI Junior | 5c | 184.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NAVI Junior | 6c | 178.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NAVI Junior | 9c | 169.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked NAVI Junior | 12c | 130.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs NAVI Junior - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs NAVI Junior - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.