Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c470907bfd40d7dc80b3a595269f24765073dc8c996aa963621abc8fb42033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 57c | 1,282$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.19 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Over | 43c | 480.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 43c | 470.86$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 43c | 328.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 69c | 155.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…fc7fbacked Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 102.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…0bd3backed Under | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 45c | 92.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 70c | 90.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 31c | 81.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Over | 24c | 81.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 63c | 71.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 30c | 66.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over | 30c | 66.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Under | 57c | 66.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Under | 73c | 62.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 77c | 58.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 79c | 31.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.