Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e75da01fe1a26c03b75a6a6c46044d73f353857ea0378d191e418d97ee00086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 64c | 14,500$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,279.97 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 36c | 5,421$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.91 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 36c | 1,917$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.57 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Under | 36c | 1,827$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.31 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 36c | 1,375$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.1 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Under | 36c | 1,336$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 36c | 603.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.23 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Under | 36c | 601$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Under | 36c | 422.56$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.44 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 55c | 357.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 36c | 341.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.48 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Under | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Under | 47c | 221.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 45c | 208.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 56c | 146.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 55c | 117.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 54c | 116.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 36c | 71.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Over | 58c | 65.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Under | 42c | 58.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 44c | 29.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.