Tennis · resolved market
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Billy Harris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa04cb026e8043c3f21075efe1941631127ac21fb1843a91c6952b8eacd8aaa20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dino Prizmicof Dino Prizmic, Billy Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Billy Harris | 5c | 6,343$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Billy Harris | 5c | 5,895$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Billy Harris | 3c | 2,862$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Billy Harris | 17c | 2,321$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Billy Harris | 6c | 2,282$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Billy Harris | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Billy Harris | 19c | 1,907$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.22 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Billy Harris | 18c | 1,587$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Billy Harris | 13c | 1,506$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Billy Harris | 15c | 1,050$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Billy Harris | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Billy Harris | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Billy Harris | 19c | 993.52$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Billy Harris | 20c | 922.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Billy Harris | 7c | 769.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e1…86b5backed Billy Harris | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Billy Harris | 6c | 629.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Billy Harris | 5c | 516.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Billy Harris | 8c | 516.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Billy Harris | 13c | 403.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Billy Harris | 7c | 390.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Dino Prizmic | 80c | 375.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Billy Harris | 6c | 365.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Billy Harris | 15c | 358.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Billy Harris | 13c | 336.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Billy Harris | 16c | 302.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Billy Harris | 16c | 298.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Billy Harris | 13c | 291.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…6c66backed Billy Harris | 16c | 226.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Billy Harris | 18c | 190.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Billy Harris | 6c | 188.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Billy Harris | 9c | 147.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Billy Harris | 17c | 104.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Billy Harris | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Billy Harris | 17c | 97.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Billy Harris | 14c | 96.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Billy Harris | 13c | 86.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Billy Harris | 14c | 81.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked Billy Harris | 15c | 69.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…e3dfbacked Billy Harris | 21c | 62.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Dino Prizmic | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Billy Harristhis page
- Set 1 Winner: Prizmic vs HarrisPrizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.