Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Daria Snigur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265e3eb76da9c39d50cdbf51880550fd453e91de5f03ccd7ff6b9ed131b43cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Snigurof Sofia Kenin, Daria Snigur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sofia Kenin | 31c | 8,000$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.81 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daria Snigur | 71c | 4,610$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.34 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Daria Snigur | 61c | 3,606$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.48 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daria Snigur | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Sofia Kenin | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Daria Snigur | 72c | 2,313$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.55 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Daria Snigur | 63c | 2,058$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.85 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Kenin | 31c | 1,821$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daria Snigur | 68c | 1,467$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.29 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Sofia Kenin | 33c | 1,280$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.43 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Sofia Kenin | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sofia Kenin | 37c | 856.39$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.86 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Sofia Kenin | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daria Snigur | 70c | 773.93$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 560.83$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sofia Kenin | 35c | 510$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daria Snigur | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sofia Kenin | 36c | 478.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Daria Snigur | 76c | 407.41$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Sofia Kenin | 29c | 340.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Daria Snigur | 65c | 300.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Sofia Kenin | 33c | 282.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…240cbacked Sofia Kenin | 37c | 270.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Daria Snigur | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Sofia Kenin | 36c | 193.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Sofia Kenin | 10c | 172.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Sofia Kenin | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Daria Snigur | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Daria Snigur | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Daria Snigur | 64c | 156.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Daria Snigur | 63c | 150.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Sofia Kenin | 24c | 137.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Sofia Kenin | 26c | 134.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Daria Snigur | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sofia Kenin | 36c | 114.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daria Snigur | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Sofia Kenin | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Sofia Kenin | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Sofia Kenin | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Sofia Kenin | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Daria Snigur | 66c | 84.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 69.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Snigur | 64c | 53.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Daria Snigur | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Daria Snigur | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Daria Snigur | 64c | 48.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Sofia Kenin | 43c | 48.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 46.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Daria Snigur | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Sofia Kenin | 36c | 35.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Daria Snigur | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8578backed Sofia Kenin | 43c | 29.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Daria Snigur | 69c | 27.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Daria Snigur | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Daria Snigur | 61c | 26.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Daria Snigur | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Daria Snigur | 64c | 21.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Daria Snigur | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…7210backed Daria Snigur | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Daria Snigur | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Daria Snigur | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.