Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 3: Marcus Walters vs Amit Vales
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d02b548208eff17fa5942e59f614c44f442e08837384dc880c59a2f370b1cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amit Valesof Marcus Walters, Amit Vales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marcus Walters | 30c | 2,473$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Amit Vales | 68c | 1,513$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.22 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Amit Vales | 74c | 1,143$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.32 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Marcus Walters | 39c | 1,006$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.2 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marcus Walters | 35c | 881.12$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.58 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Amit Vales | 63c | 691.13$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Marcus Walters | 36c | 667.68$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…b3a7backed Marcus Walters | 40c | 630$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marcus Walters | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Amit Vales | 61c | 503.29$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Marcus Walters | 15c | 479$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marcus Walters | 28c | 475.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Amit Vales | 65c | 439.11$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Amit Vales | 75c | 428.53$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marcus Walters | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Marcus Walters | 34c | 395.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Amit Vales | 73c | 257.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Amit Vales | 70c | 248.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Amit Vales | 66c | 203.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Amit Vales | 70c | 155.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Marcus Walters | 16c | 118.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marcus Walters | 33c | 117.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Amit Vales | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Amit Vales | 63c | 89.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Marcus Walters | 19c | 80.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Amit Vales | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marcus Walters | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Marcus Walters | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Amit Vales | 61c | 74.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Amit Vales | 80c | 65.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Marcus Walters | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marcus Walters | 35c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Amit Vales | 62c | 54.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Amit Vales | 75c | 54.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Amit Vales | 65c | 52.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Marcus Walters | 26c | 39.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Marcus Walters | 27c | 38.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Amit Vales | 65c | 36.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Amit Vales | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amit Vales | 76c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…489abacked Amit Vales | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…86febacked Amit Vales | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…a9c2backed Amit Vales | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…530dbacked Amit Vales | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…1c1ebacked Amit Vales | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…7210backed Amit Vales | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Amit Vales | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…1ac2backed Amit Vales | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham 3: Marcus Walters vs Amit Valesthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Walters vs ValesVales won
- Set Handicap: Vales (-1.5) vs Walters (+1.5)Vales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.