MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82d6ac87a17b4fb7f094a826ac53b5a43b7f9288406289c1a13d8073c45ecc9

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Boston Red Soxof New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $276,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $310,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,279 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox	56c	75,000$42,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,000	505	53.5%270 W · 235 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	44c	54,059$23,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,785.83	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees	46c	50,240$22,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,925.31	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees	44c	43,206$19,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,010.84	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Boston Red Sox	52c	42,282$21,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,332.7	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db5…cc23backed Boston Red Sox	57c	36,495$20,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,545.23	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox	56c	25,483$14,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,246.73	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees	43c	23,219$9,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,879	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox	56c	14,662$8,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,451.28	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Boston Red Sox	57c	6,826$3,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,935.32	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked New York Yankees	44c	5,530$2,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.21	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed New York Yankees	47c	4,234$1,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,988.82	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Boston Red Sox	56c	3,299$1,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,451.75	710	44.5%316 W · 394 L	-23.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees	43c	3,203$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.98	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees	43c	3,105$1,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336.39	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees	50c	2,500$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.42	820	42.6%349 W · 471 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox	56c	2,481$1,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.32	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Boston Red Sox	52c	1,202$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.91	639	43.3%277 W · 362 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox	54c	1,111$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.06	874	53%463 W · 411 L	+16.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees	45c	977.58$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.85	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees	46c	954.76$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.75	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Boston Red Sox	54c	933.33$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.33	366	48.9%179 W · 187 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees	10c	919$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.18	4,405	44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L	+80.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees	46c	844.97$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.87	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked New York Yankees	44c	682$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.08	686	52.9%363 W · 323 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees	45c	578.62$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.7	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox	53c	567$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.49	736	50.7%373 W · 363 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees	18c	515.39$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.84	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees	46c	499.99$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Yankees	28c	482.71$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.52	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Boston Red Sox	56c	420$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.8	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees	43c	417.51$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.53	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed New York Yankees	44c	352.42$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.06	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf923…2198backed New York Yankees	46c	326.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees	47c	310.61$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Yankees	44c	272.73$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	231	45.5%105 W · 126 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked New York Yankees	47c	207.34$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.45	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed New York Yankees	44c	168.75$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	370	52.2%193 W · 177 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees	9c	162.66$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	1,928	17.2%331 W · 1,597 L	-320.9wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees	43c	154$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.22	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Yankees	45c	141.58$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked New York Yankees	43c	139.17$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.47	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Boston Red Sox	55c	126.34$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.34	674	49.4%333 W · 341 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees	44c	119.98$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.59	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Boston Red Sox	57c	102.51$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.08	577	47.7%275 W · 302 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	999	47.5%475 W · 524 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed New York Yankees	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	348	43.4%151 W · 197 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Boston Red Sox	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	166	48.8%81 W · 85 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed New York Yankees	47c	98.45$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.58	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	89.97$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.99	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox	52c	82.44$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.53	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed New York Yankees	31c	80.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	260	63.8%166 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees	43c	75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.59	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Boston Red Sox	57c	70.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	353	53.8%190 W · 163 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked New York Yankees	47c	63.65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	391	49.1%192 W · 199 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Boston Red Sox	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	453	48.6%220 W · 233 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	816	51.8%423 W · 393 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be5…e3cabacked New York Yankees	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Boston Red Sox	46c	44.7$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.14	420	47.9%201 W · 219 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed New York Yankees	46c	42.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Boston Red Sox	55c	41.62$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.73	195	49.2%96 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox	53c	41.51$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees	50c	41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed New York Yankees	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	392	50.3%197 W · 195 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed New York Yankees	46c	37.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Boston Red Sox	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	313	50.2%157 W · 156 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed New York Yankees	46c	34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.64	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees	35c	31.06$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Boston Red Sox	56c	30.67$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.49	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed New York Yankees	47c	29.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	150	48%72 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed New York Yankees	45c	29.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	528	52.1%275 W · 253 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed New York Yankees	42c	25.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	509	54%275 W · 234 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b81…988cbacked New York Yankees	44c	24.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-4.8wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Boston Red Sox	56c	22.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed New York Yankees	49c	20.69$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Boston Red Sox	72c	14.19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.97	765	58%444 W · 321 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event