Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e459dd4218acc7173de49d430646c3c15382d744712ecdf22b816578da38c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked No | 49c | 3,405$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.21 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a7…62ddbacked No | 1c | 1,557$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 1,010$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 12c | 1,004$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked No | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 596.76$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.83 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 11c | 494.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 467.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 71c | 381.68$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 349.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 11c | 331.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 43c | 323.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 34c | 308.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 69c | 271.32$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 54c | 252.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 57c | 237.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 27c | 236.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 39c | 227.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.02 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 41c | 222.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 222.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 204.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 41c | 200.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 197.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 58c | 176.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 37c | 164.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 21c | 152.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 75c | 152.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 38c | 148.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 69c | 137.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…8486backed Yes | 39c | 135.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 39c | 133.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…d502backed Yes | 67c | 129.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…6fe7backed Yes | 37c | 128.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 58c | 122.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 41c | 119.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 118.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 69c | 116.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 64c | 116.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 42c | 113.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 29c | 113.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x609f…ada6backed Yes | 63c | 104.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…6c10backed Yes | 67c | 101.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…ee84backed Yes | 34c | 99.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…25c0backed No | 69c | 97.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 33c | 97.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…ceecbacked Yes | 37c | 95.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 186 | 15.6%29 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 47c | 93.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 18c | 93.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 16c | 92.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 29c | 90.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Yes | 19c | 88.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6825…836abacked Yes | 64c | 87.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 35c | 85.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 34c | 83.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…9936backed Yes | 70c | 82.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 62c | 77.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb6…85afbacked Yes | 30c | 76.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 75.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 48c | 73.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 21c | 73.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5eb…1e17backed Yes | 58c | 72.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…a939backed No | 50c | 71.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…f884backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 37c | 69.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 53c | 65.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 64.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 55c | 64.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 37c | 62.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…242ebacked Yes | 49c | 62.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 51c | 62.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 63c | 61.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 44c | 60.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…74fdbacked Yes | 48c | 59.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 60c | 58.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 55c | 55.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 37c | 53.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…23c7backed Yes | 34c | 53.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…705dbacked No | 29c | 52.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 53c | 52.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…a713backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdc…a29abacked No | 47c | 49.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 49c | 48.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…5678backed Yes | 39c | 48.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c63…fafebacked Yes | 56c | 47.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 55c | 47.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa055…7ffcbacked Yes | 41c | 46.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948f…1215backed Yes | 71c | 45.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…6e6dbacked Yes | 35c | 45.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…7bc6backed No | 73c | 44.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on April 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.