Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on April 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7280e2fd5e62c3f426791a5b163ab38548920c869c2090553ec1759919f03f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 5c | 2,324$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 1,286$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 13c | 1,230$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 11c | 749.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 719.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 575.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 10c | 445.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 30c | 285.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 270.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 25c | 246.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 242.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed No | 69c | 208.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 206.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 15c | 201.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…2338backed No | 75c | 187.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…49efbacked Yes | 61c | 178.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 165.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 160.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 75c | 158.78$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 14c | 154.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 27c | 154.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 29c | 139.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 77c | 138.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 38c | 137.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 12c | 129.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…d3f6backed Yes | 52c | 128.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 9c | 125.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…b6ecbacked Yes | 15c | 118.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d0abbacked Yes | 18c | 108.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…6c10backed Yes | 45c | 105.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…5fbebacked Yes | 11c | 100.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e225backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…f45cbacked No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 30c | 99.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 18c | 99.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 19c | 95.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 43c | 94.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 52c | 90.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…7575backed Yes | 32c | 88.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 69c | 87.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…d502backed Yes | 29c | 86.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…5678backed Yes | 22c | 85.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…6500backed Yes | 22c | 81.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed No | 62c | 72.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 41c | 72.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed No | 73c | 70.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…ab09backed Yes | 21c | 65.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5eb…1e17backed Yes | 25c | 61.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed No | 70c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 75c | 59.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…b209backed Yes | 46c | 59.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -12.8wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 27c | 59.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed Yes | 28c | 58.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…23c7backed Yes | 32c | 52.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed Yes | 27c | 51.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 23c | 50.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 79c | 49.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 52c | 47.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…3ca8backed Yes | 35c | 46.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 79c | 46.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 57c | 44.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 40c | 44.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 25c | 43.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…6e6dbacked Yes | 45c | 40.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…92e6backed Yes | 49c | 39.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…2c34backed No | 76c | 38.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…dfdbbacked Yes | 44c | 33.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 35c | 32.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7917…15e6backed No | 78c | 32.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed No | 61c | 31.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d023backed Yes | 44c | 28.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 64c | 24.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked No | 70c | 23.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed No | 68c | 23.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…ab6fbacked No | 62c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…256cbacked No | 74c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 79c | 17.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 70c | 16.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed No | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb356…0a8abacked No | 73c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on April 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on April 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.