TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shuai Zhangof Magdalena Frech, Shuai Zhang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Magdalena Frech20c30,731$6,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,187.878,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Shuai Zhang68c9,766$6,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.2993740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Magdalena Frech27c7,524$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed Magdalena Frech55c6,551$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6032650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Shuai Zhang45c4,780$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.0533955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Shuai Zhang48c4,400$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.891,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Magdalena Frech18c3,568$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.343,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2b…57dcbacked Magdalena Frech33c3,032$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Magdalena Frech52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56010642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Shuai Zhang67c2,689$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.952,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Shuai Zhang48c1,848$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.183354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Shuai Zhang65c1,692$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.3126847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Shuai Zhang48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.321,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Magdalena Frech31c1,300$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.895,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Magdalena Frech27c1,250$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.51,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Shuai Zhang72c1,196$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.144,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Shuai Zhang46c861.58$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.482,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Shuai Zhang78c770.95$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3211963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Shuai Zhang69c712.45$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.013,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…39ebbacked Shuai Zhang75c706.27$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.574259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Magdalena Frech21c699.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9958021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Magdalena Frech24c639.13$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15511028.2%31 W · 79 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Magdalena Frech51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Shuai Zhang49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1636038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Shuai Zhang48c406.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7419626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Magdalena Frech40c405$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.251,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shuai Zhang59c399.27$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.758,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Magdalena Frech21c380.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Shuai Zhang66c366.07$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.242,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd94f…ee62backed Magdalena Frech27c350.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Magdalena Frech30c319.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Magdalena Frech32c314.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Shuai Zhang70c285.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9586470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Shuai Zhang76c284.21$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2115752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Magdalena Frech55c284$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0423247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shuai Zhang74c273.74$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.177,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Shuai Zhang74c270.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3430625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Shuai Zhang48c264.12$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3452557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Shuai Zhang79c253.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.421,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Shuai Zhang45c250$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3113838.4%53 W · 85 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Shuai Zhang45c241.2$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.661,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magdalena Frech20c237.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Shuai Zhang45c223.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.512,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Magdalena Frech17c219.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2785742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Shuai Zhang75c200.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1584857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Magdalena Frech8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Magdalena Frech7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Magdalena Frech53c184.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.161,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Magdalena Frech8c180$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Magdalena Frech56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Shuai Zhang46c173.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8713243.9%58 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Magdalena Frech40c166.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.146,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Shuai Zhang49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0632147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Shuai Zhang49c153$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.031,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Magdalena Frech27c144.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.781,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Shuai Zhang78c144.22$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7324975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Magdalena Frech29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021052.4%110 W · 100 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Shuai Zhang47c129.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8552035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Shuai Zhang47c128$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.841,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Shuai Zhang75c125.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3547274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Shuai Zhang46c124.05$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.521,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Shuai Zhang50c115$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.053,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Shuai Zhang74c114.77$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.596945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Magdalena Frech51c114.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1872638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Shuai Zhang72c113.7$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.623,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff1…afedbacked Magdalena Frech36c111.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Magdalena Frech13c110.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Shuai Zhang72c102$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.561,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Shuai Zhang48c101.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.937040%28 W · 42 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Shuai Zhang70c100.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3822544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Magdalena Frech53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Shuai Zhang48c94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Magdalena Frech52c91.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.397,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Magdalena Frech55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Magdalena Frech54c90.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9499249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Magdalena Frech55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9443952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Magdalena Frech54c86.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.531,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Shuai Zhang48c80.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Magdalena Frech14c77.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6391755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Magdalena Frech56c76.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.882,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Shuai Zhang46c75.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.581,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Shuai Zhang43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7767852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Magdalena Frech52c69.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.152,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0514…6131backed Magdalena Frech52c67.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.012560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Magdalena Frech25c64.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2211133.3%37 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Magdalena Frech52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Magdalena Frech27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771021.3%151 W · 559 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Magdalena Frech32c60.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Magdalena Frech52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.947447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Magdalena Frech32c59.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.141,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b82…2e22backed Magdalena Frech28c53.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Shuai Zhang78c53.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.711,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Magdalena Frech54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.84259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98a…5da6backed Magdalena Frech53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Magdalena Frech52c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6225858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Shuai Zhang48c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.68365.1%54 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Shuai Zhang46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Shuai Zhang70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8620749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Shuai Zhang48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6794058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Shuai Zhang69c41.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6738860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.