MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb4e8db3620a9bd1562357ccee5340739954ef379001fd6619f5eee08ccb2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Chicago White Sox, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 13,234$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 13,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.86 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 6,196$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 3,107$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 2,949$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.08 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 2,031$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 1,223$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 875.64$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 721.5$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 513$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 235$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 202.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 100.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 90.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Chicago White Sox | 17c | 89.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 80.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 47.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 45.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 40.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 39.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401c…6f40backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 38.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 38.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 37.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 35.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 35.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 35.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 34.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 32.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 31.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 28.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 25.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 24.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…df77backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.