MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742e9aeb382e7b5beb165993a5aea04165ed99e7cfbd3b7c26873bf7812e92e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 344,024$189,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,212.98 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 45c | 222,222$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,222.1 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 78,181$35,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,999.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 45c | 16,596$7,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,127.8 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 15,387$7,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,218.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 9,101$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 7,777$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.57 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 6,775$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.43 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 2,773$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 53c | 1,818$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.49 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 1,496$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 1,465$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.75 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 45c | 1,452$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.6 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 54c | 1,444$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.76 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 45c | 1,322$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.1 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 54c | 1,197$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.57 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 51c | 1,183$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.53 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 33c | 620.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.66 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…a4f5backed Over | 45c | 560$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 45c | 462$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 55c | 327.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Over | 27c | 296.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 268.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 240.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 36c | 224.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 184.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 173.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 132.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 51c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 56c | 122.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 118.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 42c | 113$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 110.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 45c | 105.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 91.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…9612backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 54c | 74.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 26c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 55.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…3b32backed Over | 38c | 51.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…3273backed Over | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 49c | 37.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…87a6backed Over | 45c | 36.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 51c | 35.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 80c | 35.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 71c | 32.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Under | 64c | 31.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 47c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 39c | 29.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 52c | 27.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 21.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 56c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 62c | 18.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.