MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9df33deabe599e034faca07e1e21f59fe23f5d67251a233b4739cb06c5af8fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 126,477$41,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,090.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 118,961$82,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,692.76 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 29,851$15,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,697.72 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 24,279$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 23,437$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.91 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 19,191$10,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,205.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 17,466$12,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 16,768$11,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 15,459$7,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,855.2 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 14,439$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 13,921$7,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 13,768$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.93 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 11,567$7,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Chicago Cubs | 10c | 10,294$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 9,331$6,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.53 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 7,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 5,893$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.27 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 5,094$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.05 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 4,898$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 4,813$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 4,417$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Chicago Cubs | 6c | 3,493$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 3,258$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 3,061$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.7 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 2,712$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.33 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 2,611$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 2,454$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.72 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 2,438$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 2,299$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.94 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 2,222$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 2,027$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.77 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 2,000$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,998$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,977$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,825$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.01 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 1,767$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 1,687$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.84 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,616$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…e84abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 1,551$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 1,438$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,161$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,111$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 1,091$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.26 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 1,035$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,032$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 1,031$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…051bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…8204backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 955.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 944.27$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 902.65$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 804.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.45 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 768.2$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 751.06$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.83 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 741.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 709.75$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.93 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 695.62$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.32 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 656.8$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 640.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 544.6$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.93 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 518.87$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 502.03$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 482.89$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 470.53$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 470.24$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 453.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 449.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 432$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 430.47$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 430$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 420$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Chicago Cubs | 6c | 411.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 409.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 399.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 399.03$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…ffbdbacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 388$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 363.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 352$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 343.63$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 340$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 324.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 25c | 299.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 287.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 279.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 32c | 270.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…d00dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 263.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 252.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 241.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 234.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 226.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 217$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.