MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf27a7b1a177c026da6f85127551ed572f5ca64db4e174b8a816ddb18fe5f8ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 106,942$57,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,445.34 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 71,987$37,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,112.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 44,057$20,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,791.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 26,293$14,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,094.96 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 20,193$9,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,349.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 16,025$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.62 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 15,407$7,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 13,548$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.89 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 8,243$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 7,777$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.72 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 6,192$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 5,063$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 4,175$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,075$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.93 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 2,848$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.55 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,648$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.82 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,504$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,626$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,334$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.85 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,320$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,227$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.11 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,005$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.45 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 892.97$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.63 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 772.08$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 699.22$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.85 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…fcf7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 689.29$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 645$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.31 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 498.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.33 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 452$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 440.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 380.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 375.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 360$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 351.31$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 347$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 333.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.46 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 329$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 319.39$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 284$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 281.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 240.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 216.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 148.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Milwaukee Brewers | 18c | 133.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 116.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 108.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 108.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 107.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 102.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 97.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 95.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Chicago Cubs | 72c | 94.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 90.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 84.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 69.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 68.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 65.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 64.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.