Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967c59cd02cde2d5e5f7116e508e249c37d9000caba2b8b2972c0f1b767a8673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 46c | 9,847$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.02 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 55c | 8,271$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.7 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 45c | 6,969$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.79 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 5,376$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.33 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 4,204$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.99 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 51c | 3,025$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.69 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 54c | 2,988$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.54 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 2,621$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.07 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 58c | 1,681$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.87 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 56c | 1,016$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.67 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f68…29b3backed Over | 61c | 814.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 55c | 777.01$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.76 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 706.98$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.81 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 54c | 694$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.04 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 51c | 621.18$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 44c | 535.91$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.64 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 52c | 508.44$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.39 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 34c | 493.58$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 55c | 459.74$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.36 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 454.24$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.54 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Under | 33c | 393.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 388.75$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 41c | 388.12$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 42c | 330.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 58c | 277.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 54c | 276$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Under | 52c | 217.58$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 201.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 54c | 165.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 53c | 162.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Under | 53c | 160.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under | 51c | 149.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 15c | 141.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 139.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 32c | 120.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 67c | 113.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 32c | 112.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 55c | 71.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 34c | 50.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 324 | 33.6%109 W · 215 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…ecbfbacked Over | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 68c | 44.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 66c | 44.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…bf19backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Under | 33c | 40.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Under | 53c | 36.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 59c | 36.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 31.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 34c | 29.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 59c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 65c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…c058backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Under | 53c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 69c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 68c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.