Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dee751026e0c6f52c6503b0ddb4fc5ce840205dd0d16acfe2243eb7d5aad6e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 46c | 1,408$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.57 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Under | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.09 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Under | 50c | 536$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.36 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Over | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 53c | 487.78$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.44 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 51c | 458$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 46c | 320.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 291.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 281.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…d4ffbacked Over | 50c | 193.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 187.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 72.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 46c | 53.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked Under | 51c | 52.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…2878backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…c7b8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…082fbacked Over | 51c | 47.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…f02fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 36c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…0086backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 63c | 21.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.