Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 6.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b0cf8f869fa1dcf12f00331d1c9b1d6b8424d28965a452301b302b300b565d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 41c | 2,413$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 61c | 1,679$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.63 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Under | 63c | 1,170$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.7 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 77c | 973.4$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 31c | 350.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 24c | 295.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 77c | 197.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…727bbacked Over | 26c | 192.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 68c | 187.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 127.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe417…429cbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 30c | 124.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 70c | 114.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 21c | 110.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 64c | 72.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 19c | 62.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 57.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Over | 39c | 51.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 32c | 51.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 65c | 48.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Over | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…b183backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.