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Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dee…412bbacked Over42c1,472$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.1689443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23b…c1e5backed Under58c1,182$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.31855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Under62c1,048$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.74055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over45c994.04$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c331.66$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.561,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over37c237.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.032,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddbf…99c2backed Under60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8113045.4%59 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c183.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.143,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under58c105.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1716452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c102.49$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.743,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c87.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.093,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa484…524cbacked Over42c77.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.645431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under61c49.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fd…ea50backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over41c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under57c36.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over44c32.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411746.2%54 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over42c29.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3340240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under54c27.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a3…09b8backed Over63c23.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93470.6%24 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Under57c21.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3545472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f22…1d6bbacked Over69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under54c21.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7343460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.