Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e55401f0bbda025bfe583b46aa2a887d0e1744fef6f9f80f6cf7a15e0727ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ashlyn Kruegerof Katie Swan, Ashlyn Krueger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Katie Swan | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Katie Swan | 5c | 1,189$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Katie Swan | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Katie Swan | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.79 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Katie Swan | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 26.8%33 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 774.62$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 563.55$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 350.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 338.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 294.19$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 203.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Katie Swan | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Katie Swan | 21c | 87.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 59.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1e…e4efbacked Katie Swan | 27c | 54.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Katie Swan | 31c | 53.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Katie Swan | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ashlyn Krueger | 69c | 46.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 19.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ashlyn Krueger | 77c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Ashlyn Krueger | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.