CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x444c91f482b94656e92fc8976088a2f9d6739fe670f988b7fc04114308d94802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof struggletony, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed struggletony | 17c | 1,796$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked MASONIC | 40c | 1,373$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.51 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed struggletony | 50c | 895.71$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.24 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed struggletony | 60c | 886.81$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.81 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed struggletony | 15c | 837.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed struggletony | 59c | 634.4$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.56 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked MASONIC | 42c | 602.21$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.51 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed MASONIC | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked struggletony | 22c | 508.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed struggletony | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed MASONIC | 40c | 487.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed struggletony | 41c | 484$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed MASONIC | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed struggletony | 63c | 338.43$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked struggletony | 33c | 331.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked struggletony | 58c | 325.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked struggletony | 60c | 312$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked struggletony | 64c | 311.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed struggletony | 16c | 266$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed struggletony | 78c | 263.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed MASONIC | 38c | 262.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked struggletony | 47c | 250$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed struggletony | 61c | 248.11$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 55c | 238.28$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked struggletony | 20c | 233$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked struggletony | 42c | 214.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MASONIC | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed MASONIC | 38c | 199.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked MASONIC | 43c | 194.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked struggletony | 34c | 194.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed MASONIC | 49c | 178.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked MASONIC | 40c | 174.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked struggletony | 42c | 173.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed MASONIC | 36c | 154.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed MASONIC | 30c | 131.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked struggletony | 56c | 124.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MASONIC | 41c | 118.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked struggletony | 40c | 118$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked MASONIC | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed MASONIC | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed struggletony | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed struggletony | 60c | 96.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked MASONIC | 44c | 95.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked struggletony | 60c | 86.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed MASONIC | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed struggletony | 69c | 72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked struggletony | 68c | 66.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MASONIC | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked MASONIC | 37c | 62.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked struggletony | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed MASONIC | 40c | 56.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked MASONIC | 40c | 50.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed struggletony | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed struggletony | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MASONIC | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked MASONIC | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed struggletony | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed struggletony | 33c | 38.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked struggletony | 34c | 35.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked struggletony | 51c | 35.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed struggletony | 43c | 34.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked struggletony | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked struggletony | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MASONIC | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed MASONIC | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed MASONIC | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked MASONIC | 40c | 31.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MASONIC | 48c | 30.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed struggletony | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed struggletony | 62c | 30.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed struggletony | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed struggletony | 60c | 29.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MASONIC | 71c | 29.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed struggletony | 55c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked MASONIC | 60c | 25.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed MASONIC | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -13.4wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed MASONIC | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed struggletony | 68c | 22.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed struggletony | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Bthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: struggletony (-3.5) vs MASONIC (+3.5)MASONIC won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.