MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2597bf02ff1d8a5db7b4e78e70e08b433acdbc18e18ccdbee81f0fb70525e8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 16,946$7,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 16,074$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 6,513$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 48c | 3,620$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 3,003$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,902$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.22 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 1,757$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 53c | 1,337$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.81 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 1,164$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.76 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 925$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.25 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 669.71$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 60c | 659$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 59c | 633.08$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.56 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 629.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 502.24$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 53c | 422.15$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 391.31$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 40c | 389.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 31c | 362.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.15 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Over | 39c | 333.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 292.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 54c | 255.15$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 250.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 56c | 182.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 42c | 152.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 48c | 125.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over | 22c | 102.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 100.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 49c | 98.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 95.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 53c | 95.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 18c | 89.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 54c | 81.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 81.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 64c | 75.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 48c | 73.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…3d3ebacked Under | 16c | 71.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 70.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 68.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 59c | 63.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 54c | 60.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Over | 53c | 56.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 69c | 50.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 53c | 49.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 36c | 49.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 45.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed Over | 56c | 40.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 35.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 30.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Under | 69c | 30.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 53c | 28.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…4928backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Under | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 59c | 20.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.