MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a56889a51106486b859f31ad7954febbac34401ecf05e860f5d545d46a341a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 38c | 3,346$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.25 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 3,047$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.55 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 1,593$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,387$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.04 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 40c | 1,040$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.11 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 952.77$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.77 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 844.55$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.54 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 782.04$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.79 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 37c | 612.77$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 400.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Yankees | 23c | 348.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 37c | 315$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 194 | 35.6%69 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 233.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 199$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 167.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 78c | 153$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Yankees | 26c | 143$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 141$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 34c | 126$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 106.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 228 | 53.5%122 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Detroit Tigers | 72c | 81.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 24c | 76.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 67.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 64.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 53.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed New York Yankees | 38c | 45.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 44.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Yankees | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed New York Yankees | 60c | 20.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 17.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 17.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…5b50backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.