Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc949b6d030f5ecda01a65221c8c9925ce27cc30c2ded110288d651dadf57ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 32c | 5,284$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.77 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Yes | 68c | 4,013$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.64 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 29c | 3,186$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.66 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 2,234$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…089cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,482$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,403$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.54 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 31c | 1,336$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.8 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 28c | 888.52$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 32c | 699.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a02…8b73backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 34c | 599.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…9613backed Yes | 72c | 596.4$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…2451backed Yes | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…3f1fbacked Yes | 74c | 457.85$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 451$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcd…358bbacked Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 32c | 363.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 18c | 307.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 69c | 263.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 35c | 250.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Yes | 64c | 238.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 63c | 237.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 70c | 191.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 80c | 169.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…27bdbacked Yes | 70c | 169.16$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Yes | 67c | 149.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 31c | 125.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 24c | 121.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 47c | 118.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 13c | 104.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 35c | 102.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Yes | 78c | 98.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 29c | 93.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…bc67backed Yes | 70c | 92.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 17c | 90.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 32c | 88.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 36c | 88.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed No | 37c | 76.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 16c | 70.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 26c | 66.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…a96abacked Yes | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…e258backed Yes | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…ddbfbacked Yes | 74c | 65.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 17c | 64.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 78c | 64.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 32c | 62.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 31c | 47.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 69c | 43.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked No | 30c | 43.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2c00backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…d79fbacked Yes | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4517backed Yes | 77c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…6e4cbacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…0142backed Yes | 66c | 37.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe890…94cebacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 35c | 37.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…30a3backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…e4dabacked Yes | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…a1b7backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…cefdbacked Yes | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 79c | 25.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 63c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 65c | 22.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…9b5abacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…10c0backed Yes | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…f38ebacked Yes | 69c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…6917backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 133 | 65.4%87 W · 46 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe925…78c2backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…aa14backed Yes | 68c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?this page
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?No won
- DR Congo to score first vs. Colombia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.